Russian politicians and economists have exchanged views on the impact of sanctions on the domestic economy
at the investment forum in Sochi on Saturday discussed the impact of sanctions on Russia. The most serious concerns expressed bankers. Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said that Europe itself has paid for sanctions, forever losing the Russian market. Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich, meanwhile, said that the new package responses Moscow is not a priority.
«Our distortions»
« It damages companies, is a force majeure, which exists in any state »
«What is the problem for the current situation in the Russian economy – it’s not in the sanctions, we are suffering because of sanctions may be 5%, and everything else, it is our internal structural constraints, our biases of our economy that has developed essentially in the XX century “- he explained.
In the same interview, on the sidelines of an investment forum, which takes place Sochi on September 18-21, Medvedev warned that Europe pay for sanctions share in the Russian market.
«Well, we sooner or later in any case agree, it’s absolutely clear … The sanctions do not continue indefinitely But … those niches that will be in our economy are already busy – or our manufacturers, what we hope, or other foreign manufacturers – in these niches European partners will not be able to return, “- he said.
«This is the price that Europe will have to pay” – summed up the prime.
It is at the same time reassured entrepreneurs from Asia and Latin America who intend to enter the Russian market in place for European suppliers, promising that in the case of normalization of relations with Europe, no one hurt.
«Well, we’re decent people … If we are to agree with something, we will fulfill those contracts that we exist,” – the prime minister said.
Medvedev said, however, that “Russia will remain on the market in Europe if European partners do not want some absurd decisions to oust us from the market».
Also He said that the decision to ban the import of Russian prepaid products that have come under the sanctions will not be revised, RIA “Novosti”. “It damages companies, is a force majeure, which exists in every country,” – said the head of the Cabinet.
According to the prime minister of Russia in terms of sanctions “should make a breakthrough in the development of its own brands.” He said, speaking at the Sochi forum in the discussion of “Made in Russia: from corporate brands to the image of the country».
«The Chinese economy has become very strong, pulled the quality of their products, and now the inscription” Made in China’s “no one is scary. On the contrary, attracts. We need to do the same with our brands, “- he brought an example.
unfavorable to the Bank
Speaking of the banking sector, Medvedev stated that the situation in the international market unfavorable for Russia, because “virtually all positions are closed on obtaining foreign liquidity,” but Russia “get over it».
Minister of Economic Development of Russia Alexei Ulyukayev suggested that sanctions against Russia “will work for a long time, but the new restrictions will not be “ITAR-TASS.
« I think that the following sanctions likely will not be what will be. But the sanctions will remain for a long time, and almost regardless of the situation in Ukraine, even when the all Minsk agreements these sanctions will not be canceled, “- said Ulyukayev.
The minister did not see a serious threat to the slowdown of the domestic economy next year: “The risks of a recession in the next year are not high enough, based on the low base this year,” – he said on the sidelines of the forum.
On the topic of a possible shutdown of Russia from the international system of interbank communications SWIFT, Ulyukayev said that according to his estimate that this still does not happen, but just in case the country is preparing for different scenarios. In particular, the Central Bank of Russia has prepared a draft law on the establishment of the Russian analogue of SWIFT.
Finally, the head of VTB Andrey Kostin told how the sanctions have affected the banking sector: “The prospect of a year or two (sanctions) will largely determine the development of banking sector “, – quoted him as saying RIA” Novosti ».
The banker suggested that the current situation will increase the role of government, as well as during the 2008-2009 crisis.
« The state will inevitably provide more liquidity, the state will be somewhat forced to maintain the capital base of banks. In general, the role of the state in such moments certainly amplified the importance of the Central Bank for funding for our activity will increase, “- said Kostin.
Representatives of other industries ekeonomiki were more optimistic. The Minister of Construction and Housing, Mikhail Men reported that the Ministry of Construction is not afraid of bankruptcies of construction companies due to sanctions. He acknowledged that some companies may be experiencing difficulties in raising loans abroad, but “a serious failure on the number of injected volume of housing in the coming years will not happen».
Response
Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich in the interview to the channel “Russia 24″ admitted that the government is not interested in a long food embargo imposed on August 7 against countries supporting the economic pressure on Russia.
Now the Cabinet seeks to ensure that consumers had a free choice of goods on the shelves, as well as to ensure that ensure the growth of its own products in the country.
«I think that now is a good time to fill these niches. When we occupy them, we do not lose, we have no one here does not expel “- quoted Dvorkovich ITAR-TASS.
In addition, he admitted that the new package response to Western sanctions Russia until not discussed at all, and he was “not a priority” now.
«We build support mechanisms, not on the basis of sanctions and barriers in the market, and based on the attractiveness of the investment. If we will support projects that will create new industries, whether it is meat, milk and vegetables in greenhouses, orchards, these products will be competitive, and without penalty, even when they are lifted, “- he spoke.
attempts to pressure Russia
We recall the relations between Russia and the West have deteriorated sharply due to the situation in Ukraine. September 12 the EU and the United States, despite the progress in Minsk agreement between Kiev and militia ceasefire imposed new sanctions against Russia, against the financial, oil and defense industries. Has also been expanded blacklist of individuals covered by the Western sanctions.
The Russian Foreign Ministry said that Russia’s response to the new sanctions would be comparable, and Moscow has prepared a response. Later, however, the press secretary of the president of Russia Dmitry Peskov said that the Russian authorities have no clear timeframes for their approval.
Meanwhile, many politicians and economists have expressed the view that the sanctions have no effect on the policy of Moscow, as well as that they are no less badly beaten and those who initiated them.
So, the deputy director of the National Institute for Strategic Studies of Ukraine Yaroslav Zhalilo noted that Russia “is not very sensitive to the introduction of economic sanctions.”
Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt also believes that the Union’s actions were ineffective.
The fact that the sanctions are “not working”, said Prime Minister of the Netherlands Mark Rutte.
On the eve of the Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said that all attempts to put pressure on Russia by the restrictions were also fruitless, because with Moscow “can not speak from a position of blackmail».
As for the terms of the sanctions, there are different opinions. Thus, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Kozak in anticipation of the Forum in Sochi suggested that they will be canceled soon. However, according to him, this situation opens up new opportunities for investors.
The Central Bank of Russia has called a life expectancy of Western sanctions cancel the end of 2015.
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