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Another Afterword to Sochi speech
The idea of that the modern world is changing rapidly, banal to mouth. Since the late 1980s, the Russian and foreign analysts have toyed with her in various ways. One impatient western “prophet” hastened to proclaim the coming of the liberal paradise on Earth. However, whether reproach Fukuyama for his “insightful” outlook? He’s, like many, if not sincerely hoped to magnanimity, then at least on pragmatism and honesty winners in the Cold War. Prominent representatives of the Western intellectual and academic community (not all of course) are considered potentially risky kill the defeated enemy, denying him the opportunity to save face. To their opinion Washington politicians, intoxicated universal triumph, not heeded. Sport logic overcame common sense, was completely mechanistically applied to international affairs. In support of the principle of the indivisibility of the prize (the winner takes it all, the loser standing small) one senior US diplomat in conversation with his Russian counterpart afforded sverhdoveritelnuyu faux pas: “We won, you lost. And the point. ” Pay for this “point” had to be very expensive. And not just Moscow. However, it took a while before it became clear that the victory over the Soviet Union – not the Stanley Cup, which can not be divided.
United States began, without delay, to erect a building of a unipolar world, where Russia is essentially play the role of migrant workers on part-disciplined construction works, but not a partner in the architectural strategies. However, minimum standards are respected. Costing nothing and neither noncommittal, they were intended to raise the impact mladoreformatorskoy servants surrounding Yeltsin. Under her soft-spoken whispering Boris so believed in his high prestige in the international arena, he has lost the sense of reality. Roughly downed ladders chairs in the select club seemed to him hospitable chairs.
Poluizdevatelskie proposals take the camera, peeling off a meeting of world leaders, the central place he perceived as a reflection of the actual state of things. Nervously laugh embarrassed Western audience about his improvisations of conducting fed Kremlin image-makers under the rubric of a condescending “great joke.” Turned a blind eye to these comical imitation of looseness and Washington leadership, although local politicians, from those who are still not completely lost the idea of decency, have regarded such eccentricities as elementary promiscuity. At the White House talked about this: let the child teshitsya illusion of importance as you like, but would not interfere with our global plans. And then (11 September 2001) struck out of the blue. However, it was no longer clear. Invisible shadow of trouble in the air. Ten-year carnival world dictatorship of liberalism, in the tumult of his not knowing the boundaries, was doomed to a serious hangover. But even those who foresaw it, did not expect the natural result of the destruction of the bipolar system would be so unbelievably awful picture.
No matter how cynical this comparison, the terrorist attack on the twin towers was objectively Washington spoon for dinner. World noticeably tired from American tyranny, began to murmur by the mouth of countries and civilizations that did not belong and do not want to belong to the Anglo-Saxon (that is universal) culture. Among them there were pretenders to the geopolitical role once played the USSR. These claims are expressed in different ways, often taking the form of a kind of revenge for the intolerable humiliation caused by the “white man” in the colonial and neo-colonial era.
The most refined cruelty, script execution and diabolical consequences calculation method chosen radical Wahhabis. Surrealistic painting settling in clubs fire and smoke would skyscrapers as symbolized the end of domination of the wicked and the birth of salvation for humanity of the “global caliphate».
However, not all of humanity has experienced overt or secret delight of such miroustroitelnye prospects, not to mention nothing of terrorism as an instrument of its implementation. It gave the United States a carte blanche for a righteous retribution. Washington, of course, no one would not have to ask permission to retaliate. But the moral solidarity of much of the world was the way. Russia unconditionally supported the US, so to speak, ideologically, and provide them with important financial, military and logistical assistance, which lasted for many years. Now it is clear that it was naive to expect from Washington in the form of an adequate response, the cardinal restructuring of the Russian foreign policy direction. Neither of which equal partnership American leadership, having the trump card such as the fight against terrorism, and without thinking. Americans have always experienced great psychological difficulties when it comes time to express gratitude to the elementary, not in words but in deeds, barely enough to dry the protocol courtesy. Apparently, the superpower status of the White House weaned from such feelings as gratitude to sluggish simulation which he himself may yet force the service in response to powerful states. Weak at best negligent honored nodding their approval attesting that their pro-American fervor generously seen.
Russia got into this category, and Washington does not hide the fact that the very fact of adoption assistance from the Kremlin and its recognition as US ally in the fight against terrorism rendered him great honor.
Instead of gratitude to Russia was followed by a series of attacks arrogant, taking more systematic and dangerous. List them makes no sense, since none of the hostile actions of the West was left without a detailed anatomical survey from major domestic and foreign experts for the different profiles. At the same time the attention of analysts focused more on compiling the catalog of threats to our national interests. In principle, it is logical, because the threat becomes so much that they demanded just such, catalog ordering form. However, it is extremely important not only quantitative parameters of the process, but its essential synergistic orientation. Scattered rays of light – a common thing in human life. And when they were assembled into a powerful laser beam – this is a weapon capable of incinerating all living things.
And this sighting, aggressive doctrine was bluntly stated by Mrs. Madeleine Albright: all the natural resources and the vastness of Russia – has a global commons, and this idea should be raised to the status of a fundamental international legal norms. In other words, deprive our country of sovereignty. Such statements could not be distracted if the actions of the US and the EU are not given to understand that the course on the parallel solution of two problems: the expansion of Western military and political structures to the east and the new redistribution of the former Soviet (now owned by the Russian) space. Do else some other, more convincing demonstration of profound regret that in the 1990s a historic chance to finish off Russia was missed?
Politics Drang nach Osten organically fit into the strategy of American global plantings dictate, in construction technology of the unipolar world that Washington, under the guise of a crusade against al-Qaida, tightened to the limit.
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Putin endured all this for seven years. Get him a heavy inheritance forced to exercise caution in international and domestic affairs. He tried to put the country in a semblance of order to strengthen its vital rears. And only having achieved some success in this field, Putin (possibly triggered by inducing anti-Russian statements Dick Cheney in Vilnius, May 2006) decided to perk unheard West speech in Munich (February, 2007). In this speech was not anything new, but two most important things.
For the first time someone dared to say in the face of American leaders about what everyone knew but kept quiet timid, yielding an open secret for the storage of different kind of dividends. To coolly say what Putin said, looking into people’s eyes, reputed masters of the world, it was required, according to Western observers, fair courage. And Putin, left no doubt that with this quality he is all right.
However, the sharpest signal Munich speech lies not in its form and in content, which led to the unanimous conclusion of destinations: Russia is not the same and return it to its former state would be extremely difficult, and therefore from now on such a strategic objective to be moved to a more honorable place in the hierarchy of the foreign policy priorities of the United States and its European allies.
barometer of Russian-American (and Russian-Western ) relations accelerated movement to the mark “bad weather”. Dynamics of cooling has become evident in a number of grounds, including the time was dominated by moral and political pressure on the Kremlin, is amplified in a very frisky pace. Along the perimeter of Russia’s borders continued promotion launched in the early 2000s, the flywheel “color revolutions” designed to surround us with a pro-American regime countries, backed by the military and political presence of the United States.
Ahead of the game seriously impair a locomotive Georgian leader Saakashvili . His inglorious adventure in South Ossetia and Abkhazia (August 2008) has allowed Moscow to deprive Washington important points. Giving up the rescue hapless ally would be the Americans recklessly. Even more so – on the eve of the US presidential election. On this political bend the Americans planned to make up for the ugly loss superpower. The key point here was not associated with the personality of the new occupant of the White House, and with the departure of Putin (March 2008).
Obama’s proposal “reset” was first shown a positive step. The problem, however, was that this euphemism for hiding specific purpose – not in any way prevent the return of Putin to the Kremlin. One can easily understand the experts, implies a willingness of the new US administration to bring at least tactical sacrifices standing case. Nothing like! Moreover, against the background of umirotvoritelnoy perezagruzochnoy rhetoric real strategy of Washington bought the surprise of many poisonous expansive color. Annoyed about this, one Western analyst has called Obama’s course “irresponsibly aggressive.” Was the behavior of some of Obama sverhutonchenny calculation or simple stupidity, has no special significance in the light of the Russian presidential election in 2012. Against Washington, who has made an obvious contribution to the victory of Putin, arises the classic: “You wanted it, George Dandin?»
And then, to the accompaniment of Requiem for a reboot, Americans, capitalizing on the situation in Ukraine and Crimea moved into a massive attack against Russia, culminating in which are as long as economic and political sanctions, quite fraught with more dangerous stocks.
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This is a brief background to the Sochi Putin’s speech (24 October 2014), in which there is nothing to be surprised. It seems that analysts exaggerate its cryptographic implication, seeing in her invisible to the uninitiated hidden signals. The content and style of said Putin seems natural development of ideas sounded seven years ago in Munich, so it is clear that students, who knew a little Russian language removed the headphones. In something Putin’s manner of presentation is very economical in the use of excessively-shaped means (if it’s not a press conference with his metaphorical techniques), is in line with the best examples of Soviet political texts with doctrinal stuffing. Sochi statement, clearly, could not be a copy of Munich. In a world still some things have changed over the years, and not in a reassuring side.
In Sochi, Putin shifted the focus, keeping the promise of meaning.
Munich: “Stay until late. Basics of the world order, and without too shaky to undermine their new Cold War. Let us not quarrel, and unite in the face of common threats. Do not leave the outstretched hand of Russia dangling in the air. It’s insulting to any power, and Russia – not any ».
Sochi:” We are deeply saddened by the US intention to continue their self-destructive behavior in planetary scale, expand and deepen the chaos space confrontation with Moscow did not hesitate to resort to indecent public and clearly pronounced in the Kremlin, “none of your business” at a time when the situation arises, directly threatening our security. We are, after repeated attempts to recover the Russian-American relations in the mainstream of honest and constructive dialogue, one thing remains: not getting into the pose, anyone not offended anyone for anything without asking, strengthen the self-sufficiency of Russia (focusing) in all spheres of life. We do not want isolation, but are not afraid of it. We remain open to any initiatives that create real prospect push world politics from the brink of disaster ».
Pereuslozhnenny semantic parsing program statements of top officials – a favorite pastime of political observers do not tire of repeating that the texts of such level “random words does not happen.” Everything seems to be true. That’s only for the transfer and meticulous analysis of the “non-random words” is often lost are the simple things.
It was her wish to bring to the consciousness of Putin and strong and weaknesses of this world: to believe in the “Features Articles» Russian or not – it’s strictly voluntary, but respect the national interests of an independent state under the name “Russia” – this is the categorical imperative, the neglect of which will not go unanswered, directly proportional to the temptation to wage against us game without rules.
Vladimir Degoev – Professor of MGIMO-University, especially for IA REGNUM
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