«My decision is not amazed, but I assumed that the fluctuations of the ruble, which were in the last week, still make CB does not reduce the rate of 0.5% and 0.25% “. The euro rose to 65.55 rubles., Adding 1.27 ruble. The dollar was 60.35 rubles., 1.36 rub. higher than the prior art. The regulator has raised dramatically at the start of winter in the background of the collapse of the ruble, but then, beginning in January, at any meeting, it will certainly drop. This annual Inflation in summer 2016 is expected at 7%. Present rate cut was the fifth consecutive year. CB explains his decision by the fact that the balance of risks as before biased towards a significant cooling of the economy, despite some increase in inflation expectations.
«In general, because of the difficult socio-economic policy, which takes the leadership and Central Bank, rub. It will only weaken. ” Lowriders actually responded to the regulator’s decision. “Maybe it made sense to postpone it until the next meeting, on 11 September,” – notes the analyst ufirms.ru Daria Zhelannova. As reported by the agency, all the experts predicted that the Central Bank will lower the rate by 0.5 percentage points – to 11%. This 2 in February 2015 the first major rate has decreased immediately by two percentage points – to 15% per annum, as from 16 March 2015, the first – one percentage point (to 14 % per annum). Slowing inflation will continue due to weak domestic demand, according to the notification. Also, it is capable of reducing pressure on rubles.
In the context of sluggish economic dynamism of the Central Bank is waiting for the reduction of annual inflation in the years 2015-2017. That’s what hurt the CBR significantly lower the rate.
Recall from the fourth quarter of the previous year, the regulator several times changed the main rate.
«This is due to the careful promotion of the increasing volatility in the market, the weakening of the ruble and high inflation, “- said Dmitry Lepetikov of VTB24.
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