Press Secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov has already stated that it is prepared for the summits documents will be signed — and the absence of the head of Belarus on the procedure will have no effect.
“Indeed, our Belarusian colleagues reported that Lukashenko will not be able to participate in today’s summit. I think that it would be incorrect to speak about the reasons. It should do the press service of the Belarusian President, — he said to Russian journalists. De facto, this will not prevent substantive to discuss our integration issues — all documents have been previously agreed by the Board, including with our Belarusian partners. They will be sent to Minsk for signing by the President of Belarus”.
Sam Lukashenko stayed in Minsk held a meeting “On the safety of citizens during new year and Christmas holidays”. The implication was that this problem of the power structures themselves cannot solve and that it is so requires a presidential intervention that should skip the summits of the CSTO and the Eurasian economic Union (however, holidays in the country are already hard at, because in Belarus Christmas is a public holiday).
the presidential press service of the cancellation of the visit does not comment. Failed to get comments in the Ministry of foreign Affairs. But in the events which decided not to attend Lukashenko, accepted decisions are critical. So, at the CSTO summit today was supposed to be elected the new General Secretary of a military Alliance — the head of Belarus could participate in the process.
However, the official Minsk still more important was the agenda of the summit of the EEU, which includes Armenia, Belarus, Russia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. There were plans to approve the total for the five countries-participants of the Customs code.
this document, the approval of which Moscow insisted, had caused the maximum dissatisfaction of Alexander Lukashenko. Last time it was 9 December when the head of Belarus demanded from his Ministers to “ensure that the national interests of Belarus in the adoption of the Customs code of the Eurasian economic Union”.
“This document needs to be absolutely verified. And after its entry into force, any citizen of Belarus, including myself, do not have to ask the question to the government, which was primarily developed and coordinated the document, what we have really is and why where it became worse than it was. Whatever the Customs code was no compromise, but to worsen the socio-economic situation that exists in Belarus, we are in any case impossible.
Everything must be thought out and verified in the ministries, departments, oblast Executive committees. If you want to — in the mountains of the district Executive committees. It is necessary to involve all professionals up to the opposition-minded as we often called. To bring these provisions to the citizens of our country. Immediately, so they can respond and say that we are profitable and what is not” — said Alexander Lukashenko.
Also, according to him, while for Belarus from membership in the EAEU — one loss: “Results are known. I have not once talked about this. The decline in turnover in the Union — around 40% last year, this year about 15%. Here is the result”.
However, according to experts “Газеты.Ru” in this case, intertwined as numerous economic conflict between Minsk and Moscow, and hostile relations between Vladimir Putin and Alexander Lukashenko — in many ways just these conflicts and invoked.
“lately, Lukashenko has deliberately clocked the situation with Russia. This is evident in many of his statements, particularly in relation to Dankvert. Earlier he sometimes managed in such a way to turn the tide in their favor. Now it’s failed. Apparently, he was not promised even a tete-a-tete with Putin, says Belarusian economist and politician Lev Margolin. — Moreover, the oil and gas dispute, too, promised to translate in a legal plane.
I believe that the coming period it will be a Russian tactic: no politics, only disputes between businesses. And, accordingly, Putin will demonstrably distance themselves from these problems. What remains Lukashenko? Only demarches”.
According to Margolin, Belarus anyway — sooner or later — will sign the Customs code and other documents. The reason is that Russia still has enough means of influence on Belarus.
“it is Planned to reduce oil supplies to 18 million tons. But this is not the limit. A few years ago, during one of the trade conflicts, Putin gave to understand that the internal needs of our country is 6 million tonnes,” says Lev Margolin.
While economic pressure from Russia, the official Minsk meets political and ideological action. On the one hand, this conspicuous improvement of relations with the European Union, the non-recognition of the new status of Crimea and so on. On the other — as a demonstrative distancing from the “Russian world”.
the Last events in the chain occurred on 22 December. Then the foreign Ministry of Belarus was called the Counsellor of the Russian Embassy Vadim Gusev.
foreign Ministry expressed protest in connection with the statements of the Director of the Federal state scientific institution “Russian Institute of strategic studies” Leonid Reshetnikov, in which he stated that the Belarusian language is only 90 years old, and Belarus — “the historical part of the great Russia”.
“look, November 22, Putin and Lukashenko meet in Moscow for five hours to negotiate, but not agree to anything at all. Even oil and gas conflict was not allowed. Lukashenko then obviously I was furious — it was noticeable, says “Газете.Ru” recent events Belarusian politician, head of the civil campaign “Our House” Olga Karach. — And then followed the arrests of “anti-state activities” of the three journalists who wrote articles for the Russian sites. And the sites are very different.
and propaganda hype around it was swollen just huge. Such an unequivocal warning to all who might be called Pro-Russian-minded”.
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