LDPR has a chance to win the fight for second place on the party list in the elections of the State Duma, according to experts civil society development Foundation (FoRGO).
They say that all members of the current election campaign tried to fit into Putin’s rating. His authority, which in the past has been high among the Russian public, reached a peak after the Crimea and Sevastopol joining in 2014.
«parties was necessary in such circumstances to focus on” Putin’s preference majority “, so as not to lose the votes of their supporters”, – stated in the report
Liberal Democratic Party, according to experts, has coped with this task better than any other
«Sluggish.. start »
Head of Fund Konstantin Kostin stipulates that second Liberal Democratic party on party lists will be possible only if they manage to pull the votes of undecided voters.
By the way, an important point in the present campaign is that the undecided at this time – this is the patriotic citizens
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«The current programs promise the Liberal Democratic Party – is a specific balance between patriotism, protecting the interests of citizens and moderate nationalism,” – he said. In fact, the party returned to its old formula, “We are for the poor! WE WILL for Russian! ».
In general, according to a study FoRGO, the struggle for the undecided are now talking among parliamentary parties. Kostin said that “due to the slow start” small parties this year they have virtually no chance to overcome the barrier of 5%
The parliamentary parties, in turn, won on the use of “predelektoralnyh procedures”, said the source “Gazety.Ru”. In fact, they started their own PR before campaign period: during the formation of programs and determining their candidates. The ruling “United Russia”, in particular, held their primaries.
In addition, all parliamentary parties in a number of cases had agreed on a compromise when nominating their candidates in the districts.
However, if on the list of the Liberal Democratic Party, and may compete for the second place, in the single-member districts line the candidates of the Communist Party is much stronger, the authors FoRGO report say.
«in actual equality of the total number of candidates Communists surpass the liberal Democrats on the “quality” of their nominees in majority districts – they have great potential for election than candidates from the liberal Democratic party “, – stated in the report
his recognizable candidates Communists have put forward both by the party list. and single-mandate constituencies. Such a strategy, on the one hand, allows the parties to hedge their nominees. On the other – the candidate of the Communist Party with a high level of media work including the outcome of the regional groups
Boredom and drop
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Kostin believes not particularly forecasts that “Fair Russia” does not risk to get into the State Duma. “Still, sociology suggests that they are, although they will not be able to repeat the success of the 2011 elections,” – he added. According to the expert, strong single-mandate this party is also more than the Liberal Democratic Party.
In addition, the Socialist-Revolutionaries have attracted a number of new faces, have not been associated with the policy. This is primarily an economist Mikhail Delyagin, a scholar Anatoly Wasserman, former coach of the Russian national team Valery Gazzaev and TV presenter Roman Babayan.
Political analyst Yevgeny Minchenko believes that the current campaign is one of the the most boring in the intervening period. And talk is not so much about the achievements of the parliamentary opposition, as of the fall of the results
«This is not the Liberal Democratic Party won, but rather the Communist Party slipped, -. Said the source” Gazety.Ru “. – They had to play the alternative party of power, and they are trying to be ideologically left-wing party, which is still trying to hold on to the pro-niche. Eser, recently rushed between loyalty and opposition ».
Political analyst Nikolai Mironov does not believe that the Liberal Democratic Party will be able to really compete with the Communists on the lists. In his opinion, although it is on the sociology of the party are on a par, the Communists more “real support».
«Of those people who come to the polls and does not support the” United Russia “, the majority of give preference to the Communist Party, not the liberal Democratic Party “, – the expert believes unequivocally
VTsIOM source confirms that the gap position of the Communists and the liberal Democrats is relatively small.. This is due to the fact that the Liberal Democrats may take away part of the electorate from the Socialist-Revolutionaries and the “United Russia”. But it is the source “Gazety.Ru” emphasizes that the mobilization of active voice of the voters in the Communist Party is still longer.
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