Thursday, January 28, 2016

Russian media: experts tipped changing political climate – BBC Russian

In a review of the Russian media:

  • How much will it cost you the election for candidates
  • The Russians do not believe in the participation of the authorities in the poisoning of Litvinenko
  • Russia may reduce oil production by agreement with OPEC
  • The Fall of the Russian economy will stop only in 2018
  • The population limit access to imported medicines
Image copyright BBC World Service

” Nezavisimaya Gazeta “: the price of victory

The Russian political scientists have announced how much it cost challenger seat in the State Duma of the seventh convocation, told “Nezavisimaya Gazeta”. Experts predict that the new parliament will be able to go from four to six parties and the representatives of the All-Russia People’s Front (ONF), which will dominate the single-member districts.

If the candidates will be required to hold high-quality elections, it means that campaign will be costly, writes, “Nezavisimaya Gazeta”. Vice-President of the RAIC Peter quickly explained that the value calculated from approximately $ 10 per voter. Consequently, the average size of single-mandate districts, 500 thousand. People and taking into account the 50 per cent turnout for victory will be necessary to win the votes of 125 thousand voters.

“It turns out 1 million 250 thousand. USD., Or about 100 million rub. at the current rate, “- said Bystrov, but added that prices will be lower in the regions of the so-called electoral authoritarianism, that is where their leaders have reduced the level of political competition to a minimum.

Also, experts predict closer to the election sharp change in the political climate in the country. “The driving force will not protest the deteriorating economic situation and the crisis of confidence in the government”, – the president of the Russian Association of Political Consultants (RAIC) Igor Mintusov. He, however, believes that, although the attitude of people to the local authorities will continue to deteriorate, the negative effect of this for the EP would still be offset by a high rating of President Vladimir Putin.

“If you say the terms of chess, Putin – is queen of the party in power, which is key to her game, “- said Mintusov.

It is possible to escalating social protests in the political rests on the lack of political power, which could accumulate them, summarizes the expert. In his view, it is shown not led to anything protests by truckers. Especially since the Duma opposition confidence gone, her protests for a long time wearing imitation character.



“Kommersant”: do not believe it!

In Russia, little confidence in the involvement authorities in the death of Alexander Litvinenko. This is with reference to the research data, “Levada Center,” the newspaper “Kommersant”.

Sociologists have found that citizens any say in general are unaware of the “Litvinenko case”, or do not believe the London public investigation the murder case of former FSB officer, the results of which were announced last week.

Only 12% of citizens believe that the London committee had reason to recognize the Russian authorities “probably involved” in his death.

“People obviously, that such decisions are dictated by political motives, the campaign against Russia, which is in the West, and particularly in the UK”, – said United Russia deputy, Robert Schlegel.

Now the criticism of the Russian Federation is considered by citizens through the prism of the confrontation with the West, says the director, “Levada Center” Alexei Grazhdankin.

“Vedomosti”: no new wells

The newspaper “Vedomosti” citing Energy Minister Alexander Novak writes that Russia is ready to discuss with OPEC the possibility of reducing oil production by 5% in order to achieve growth in raw material prices. This issue may be discussed at the OPEC meeting in February. However, a source close to the government said that while there is only a discussion and no indication of lower production was not.

Energy Ministry earlier said that production at this year remains at 2015, the newspaper said, but, according to representatives Petroleum, which refers to the publication, at low prices, production will fall this year. “In this situation, Russia is certainly advantageous to announce that we are planning to reduce production with OPEC” – the newspaper expert opinion.

The newspaper notes that after the announcement of Novak Brent crude oil has risen by 5.6 %.

According to an unnamed employee of one of the oil companies to reduce oil production in the country is not difficult – in Russia there is a natural decline in production, and you just do not drill new wells.

According to Leonid Fedun, vice president and co-owner of Lukoil, Russia needs to cut production, “My personal position is that it should be done. In 1998, I was one of the initiators of negotiations with OPEC. Then the joint position of Russia, Norway, Mexico and Saudi Arabia led to prices turned around, and we had a long-term uptrend, “- he told RBC that in the latest issue also wrote on the subject.

” What is the point to increase the supply in the market at a time when even a small adjustment of oil supply will lead to an increase in prices? All this means a profit of both companies and the Russian Federation “, – said Fedun, predicting a decline in oil production in the country at the end of the year.



” Nezavisimaya Gazeta “: not optimistic

The Russian authorities claim that the economy in 2016 gives reason for cautious optimism, said, “NG”. However, the calculations of independent experts indicates that the decline of the Russian economy at current prices for oil will cease only in 2018.

It is unlikely to stop the decline this year and the turnaround plan of the government at the cost of 750 billion rubles., of which the head of the Ministry of Economic Development Alexei Ulyukayev, said the newspaper.

Most experts do not believe in the possibility of growth in the Russian economy without rise in oil prices, the newspaper writes. Saving oil prices below $ 45 per barrel is a continuation of the recession in the country for at least one and a half years, said on this occasion, Managing Director of the company “BCS Broker” Oleg Chikhladze.

Possible growth in 2018, according to him, may be due to several factors. “Internal factors might be an increase in output of export-oriented sectors, the improvement of credit conditions in the domestic market, slowdown in inflation, maintaining a low volume of imports and economic reform” – lists Chikhladze. By the favorable external factors, he considers the abolition of Western sanctions and the increase in oil prices.



“Kommersant”: without medication

Russia could soon be left without imported drugs, does not exclude the “Kommersant” newspaper, which wrote about this on the front page of the latest issue.

The fact is that from January 1, 2016, foreign pharmaceutical companies can not be registered in Russia new drugs without confirmation of compliance of its quality standards Russian requirements for standard GMP.

However, as the newspaper writes Ministry of Industry is not empowered to carry out inspections of medicinal plants abroad, none of the subordinate institutions and obtain a certificate of foreign manufacturers simply do not have anyone.

Director of SBD Research Institute Health Organization David Melik-Guseinov, in this regard, said that the government will eventually have to postpone the transition to foreign products.

And the director of the Association of International Pharmaceutical Manufacturers Vladimir Shipkov told “Kommersant” that new requirements for foreign pharmaceutical companies since the beginning of 2016 means the restriction of access to modern medicines for the population of Russia.

What else read:

  • Article RBC” Five questions about Russia’s victory in the Spanish Yukos affair. ” The newspaper says that the Swedish Court of Appeal dismissed the sudden decision of the Stockholm international arbitration, obliged to Russia in 2012 to compensate the Spanish minority shareholders of Yukos. RBC understood the meaning of this decision.
  • The material on the website Gazeta.ru, “Berlin and Moscow faced propaganda” about the scandal allegedly raped in Germany, 13-year-old Lisa that was, as noted by the newspaper, a big factor in the policy.
  • Material RBC “Nine questions about currency mortgages.” The devaluation of the ruble has put in the hard conditions of the currency mortgage borrowers. What makes a bank debtors to the streets and there you have the problem of currency mortgage solution? – Asks edition.

Review prepared by Oleg Savin, monitoring services Bi-bi-si

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