Will the United States and Russia to agree on the terms of the cease-fire in Syria? Whether to agree to these dates other members of the International Support Group Syria who had gathered late on Thursday in Munich? During yesterday’s issue of the end of hostilities in Syria was raised at the meeting of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secretary of State John Kerry and the head of European diplomacy Federica Mogherini. However, no specifics in the public space does not appear.
According to information obtained by Reuters from American sources, Moscow has offered to enter the silence regime in Syria since the first of March. But on Thursday morning, another US agency – Associated Press also in the form of information leakage has given an informal White House response to the Russian initiative. Washington was not satisfied with the terms – the State Department insists on an immediate end of hostilities by both the Syrian army and the air and space forces of Russia. Carried out by diplomats prior to the consultation of the International Support Group Syria “reconnaissance in force” as a result of clear – who will win – not made. According to a source in the Foreign Ministry of the Russian Federation, on Thursday afternoon, “differences in the positions of Russia and the United States had a lot of”
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However, if the preparatory work of the two countries’ leaders dipvedomstva will be successful, and they will find a formula Syrian settlement, which will also save face regional players – Iran, Turkey, and members led by Saudi Arabia of the coalition, we can not exclude that the final terms of the cease-fire in Syria is still sound in speech at the Munich conference premier Dmitry Medvedev, who heads the Russian delegation
How will form diplomatic “card”. impossible to predict. One thing is clear: the compromise with our American partners, if it is reached, will allow the head of the Russian government to unlock deferred until February 25 mezhsiriyskie consultations in Geneva, interrupted on the initiative of a spoiled Saudi Arabia, the Syrian opposition. In this case, the “naughty people” as ironically described some of the Syrian opposition, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, will be forced to submit to the sponsors, to say “yes” at a meeting in Munich, the resumption of the Geneva format of negotiations under the auspices of the Special Envoy OOH Mr. de Mistura.
But to achieve this “yes” can be a daunting task – participants of the International support group Syria has long raschertili and voiced its “red lines”, to publicly step over that it would be difficult – even under pressure from Washington. On the eve of a trip to Munich Russian Prime Minister Russian Foreign Ministry called on the members of Syria’s support groups “not to block the work of this mechanism, which was arranged by compromises.” The first appeal was addressed to Moscow the Turkish authorities that in the aggressive form oppose any involvement of Kurdish parties in mezhsiriyskih negotiations. Earlier, the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs called on the carpet of the US Ambassador in Ankara to make his suggestion after State Department spokesman John Kirby at the briefing refused to rank the party of Syrian Kurds “Democratic Union” to terrorist organizations. So Ankara representative pointedly may well ignore the Munich meeting of the International Group of Syria’s support to force the Secretary of State to refuse to compromise with the Kremlin as by terms of the ceasefire in Syria, as well as on the future of President Bashar al-Assad CAP
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Another nesoprikosnoveniya point in the negotiations of the International group in Munich Turkish steel initiatives for a settlement in Syria. In his key points, they are not satisfied with either Damascus or Moscow. Ankara urges Americans to the need to create in the north of Syria no-fly zone and a certain security zone, where donor money promises to build a new town for refugees. For obvious reasons, this project looks very attractive to the exhausted (not without the help of Turkey) immigration crisis the European Union. In Moscow it is thrown into the international level the idea of an attempt to call the Turkish officialdom “somehow protect their dirty business.” According to the Russian Foreign Ministry, Ankara may pursue another goal, “under cover, under the guise of some strange problems, take and, by and large, occupying a large area of land, which is adjacent to Turkey, although located on the territory of another sovereign state. ” Moreover, the Turkish authorities maintain that “the United States began to believe in their project”, although no evidence of this does not lead. It is possible that the question of the veracity of such statements by Ankara Lavrov will ask his US counterpart John Kerry.
In preparing fateful decisions on Syria Russian diplomats did not have confidence on Thursday that Russia and the US agree on common approaches to the Syrian settlement, despite the “common understanding of the ultimate goals in Syria”
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remained troubled and “external” background. Earlier, Prime Minister of Turkey Ahmet Davutoglu said his country intends to protect the Syrian city of Aleppo. “Behind his defenders all Turkey”, – said the head of pompous Turkish government forgotten that the town is where the defense is holding one of the supported Ankara terrorist groups on Syrian territory. In turn, the official Damascus considers the strategic goal of the Syrian army to regain control of the border with Turkey. So no matter how skillful were Russian and US negotiators, who met in Munich to discuss the prospects for a settlement in Syria to end the war quickly it is unlikely to be able to do. Too many countries in the region under the pretext of fighting Daishev (the Arabic name of the banned groups in Russia LIH) would like to participate in the section of the Syrian territory and have invested considerable resources in it. And yet, a real chance to agree with Moscow date of the ceasefire and humanitarian aid to the besieged city scheme, participants of the International Group of Syria support there. If this happens, the performance of Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev at the Munich Conference will give a serious impetus to the Syrian settlement, paving the way for further negotiations on a seemingly extinct political process in Syria.
You can also assume that in his speech, at the Munich conference, the head of the Russian government has repeatedly articulated confirm Moscow’s readiness to interact with American counterparts as close as this in the fight against terrorism are ready to do the United States.
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